As a result of the continuous depreciation of naira, economists on
Wednesday advised the Federal Government and the Central Bank of Nigeria
to review their policies and introduce measures that would turn around
the dwindling fortunes of the nation’s economy.
The naira exchanged for N375 to a dollar on Wednesday from 368 on
Tuesday at the parallel market. Foreign exchange dealers said the
lingering scarcity of forex at the interbank market was shifting dollar
demand to the black market.
The local currency had lingered between 346 and 348 at the parallel
market before tumbling to over 360 this week, following the total
floating of the naira by the CBN on Friday.
The local currency, however, eased slightly against the dollar at
the official interbank market and closed at 294.23 on Wednesday, up from
294.87 on Tuesday.
Dealers said the local currency was stuck at 294.23 after just one
transaction was carried out, with the supply of dollars drying up and no
intervention by the CBN, Reuters reported.
Highlighting the state of the interbank market, an economist at Exotix, Mr. Alan Cameron, said, “Recent
FX reforms have been enough to re-open the investment case for Nigeria,
but there is still some uncertainty about the functioning of the
market.
“The absence of volatility at N283/$ was interpreted as a sign
that administrative controls were still in place; it remains to be seen
if those will be fully removed.”
According to some analysts, foreign investors have welcomed the
removal of currency controls by the CBN but many are still steering
clear of the Nigerian economy until it shows signs of a concrete
recovery.
“Most investors would like to see a more liquid FX market before resuming purchases of local assets,” the Head of Africa Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, Samir Gadio, told Reuters.
He, however, added, “Given the significant discount of
naira-settled futures, a number of offshore financial institutions and
hedge funds could be tempted to get involved in the foreseeable future.”
The Chief Executive Officer, Cowry Assets Management Limited, Mr.
Johnson Chukwu, said the naira was falling at the parallel market
because demand had shifted there due to lack of liquidity at the
interbank market.
However, the National President, Association of Bureau De Change
Operators, Aminu Gwadabe, said the naira was not sustainable at 375 to
the dollar at the parallel market.
He described the demand as artificial, saying, “I think the
parallel market has been taken over by some forces. Where is this demand
coming from? I think this is not sustainable.”
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